Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004067 0.004272 0.004482 0.004714 0.004964 0.005224 0.005516
2025-10-26 0.003698 0.003999 0.004320 0.004691 0.005107 0.005563 0.006103
2025-11-02 0.003455 0.003808 0.004196 0.004657 0.005192 0.005797 0.006541
2025-11-09 0.003336 0.003737 0.004187 0.004735 0.005389 0.006152 0.007121
2025-11-16 0.003177 0.003604 0.004092 0.004698 0.005438 0.006324 0.007480
2025-11-23 0.003057 0.003507 0.004030 0.004691 0.005515 0.006524 0.007876
2025-11-30 0.002922 0.003382 0.003926 0.004623 0.005508 0.006613 0.008130
2025-12-07 0.002806 0.003276 0.003838 0.004568 0.005510 0.006709 0.008390
2025-12-14 0.002725 0.003208 0.003791 0.004560 0.005569 0.006875 0.008750
2025-12-21 0.002592 0.003070 0.003652 0.004428 0.005457 0.006809 0.008781
2025-12-28 0.002535 0.003024 0.003627 0.004439 0.005533 0.006996 0.009175
2026-01-04 0.002500 0.003004 0.003632 0.004491 0.005663 0.007260 0.009693
2026-01-11 0.002432 0.002940 0.003579 0.004462 0.005685 0.007375 0.010002
2026-01-18 0.002370 0.002883 0.003533 0.004441 0.005714 0.007501 0.010333
2026-01-25 0.002308 0.002823 0.003481 0.004409 0.005726 0.007602 0.010629
2026-02-01 0.002291 0.002821 0.003505 0.004482 0.005889 0.007929 0.011301
2026-02-08 0.002234 0.002764 0.003454 0.004447 0.005894 0.008021 0.011597
2026-02-15 0.002191 0.002724 0.003424 0.004441 0.005939 0.008172 0.012000
2026-02-22 0.002129 0.002659 0.003357 0.004378 0.005897 0.008188 0.012173
2026-03-01 0.002075 0.002601 0.003299 0.004327 0.005870 0.008224 0.012382
2026-03-08 0.002039 0.002567 0.003272 0.004320 0.005908 0.008364 0.012780
2026-03-15 0.001964 0.002479 0.003168 0.004197 0.005765 0.008205 0.012635
2026-03-22 0.001938 0.002456 0.003156 0.004208 0.005828 0.008384 0.013112